2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AM Picks and Preview

This week the TOUR heads to Monterey Peninsula for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AM. The sights and sounds of Pebble Beach make for an incredible week every single year.

Recap of Last Week

Yet another long-shot came through at Torrey Pines, continuing the historic start to the 2024 PGA Tour season. The Frenchman, Mathieu Pavon, became the first French winner in 117 years.

The big names faltered down the stretch with their putters, and the one guy who consistently made them when he needed to was Pavon. Incredible stones getting up-and-down on the last.

What to Know About The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AM

The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AM had seen a severe drop in field quality since the likes of Tiger and Phil stopped coming some years ago. With the inclusion of Signature Events starting last year, players would not be bothered to squeeze a Pro-Am into their busy February.

Now it is the first real Signature Event of the year – we will see all of the top PGA Tour players competing together, headlined by World No.1, Scottie Scheffler, and Rory McIlroy, fresh off a win in Dubai.

I will not go any farther in this article without mentioning that the weather will be a huge factor at this week’s event. The wind and rain are here in full force, so expect some tomfoolery in Monterrey. There’s a chance this event is not a full 72 holes.

The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AM is usually played on 3 courses, but this year it will be one round on Spyglass Hill, a tree-lined tough track, and 3 rounds on Pebble Beach, the wind-exposed Number 1 Public Golf Course in the world.

Note: This is the first Signature Event to have an 80 man field with no cut. 3 Sponsors exemptions were given out: Adam Scott, Webb Simpson, and Maverick McNealy.

Players With Good Course History

As mentioned previously, most of the top players have little to no experience playing the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AM. The 2019 US Open at Pebble is the only real tournament that Scottie, Rory, JT, Xander, and many others have played here.

However, there are some notables with top finishes. Jordan Spieth won this event in 2017, Max Homa has 3 top 15 finishes in the past, and Patrick Cantlay has finished in the top 4 his last two appearances here.

Jason Day has played well here without winning, but LIV players Phil Mickelson, Paul Casey, and DJ dominated the 2010s at Pebble. The field appears wide open.

Players Who Stick Out to Me

Patrick Cantlay has finished t3 and t4 in his last two go-arounds at The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AM. He has the all-around game to contend anywhere, especially if conditions get tough. I don’t think he wins and his ball-striking was poor enough last week for me to wait a little longer to use him.

Ben An – the South Korean is off to a banger of a start in the 2024 season. His playoff loss at the Sony will sting, but he has competed at the highest level of his career so far. I value putting less here due to the second highest 3 putt% of any course on TOUR, and Benny misses a lot of putts.

Corey Conners – the Canadian is a ball-striking wizard and this season it’s been no different. He has won at short courses before, and Pebble is the shortest there is. Not to mention what I said about the putting here before…

Max Homa – Any time on the PGA Tour is in California I immediately think Max Homa. Another strong Cali showing last week at Torrey, the 6-time winner is incredible on Poa greens. Do I want him here or at the Genesis?

Players I am Fading this Week

Viktor Hovland – He gets a lot of love and for good reason after his memorable performance as an Amateur here at the 2019 US Open. He will need to scramble well here, and I feel Viktor is best at ball-striking havens.

Sam Burns – After the collapse at the AmEx, I do not expect Sam to bounce back. In top tier events he has a very poor record, and I do not think he’s a good enough wedge/wind player to compete with all of the top guys.

Cameron Young – This course mitigates Cam’s biggest strength, the driver. He will need to pitch and putt well, and he is a really poor wedge player. Do not expect big things from him – in his first appearance here he finished 137th.

My One-and-Done Pick for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AM

The One and Done has been bad for us. Last week we went chalk and it went as poorly as it could’ve. I’m not feeling good about it and the weather has me scared. I will not overthink this.

The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AM will require an elite wedge player, incredible scrambler, and a good wind player. I always think of one guy when it comes to each of those skills, not to mention he is as hot as anyone coming in. This is the week the comeback completes. JT 22-1.

Last Week: Jason Day MC – $0

YTD Winnings: $747,115